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Statistical Advance: Analyzing the AAA Texas 500

texas-ncwts-0606144.jpgBelow is a look at the Eliminator 8 – and beyond –  at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas going into the AAA Texas 500 on November 2. Official statistical advance of NASCAR. Photo copyright Texas Motor Speedway

 

1 - Jeff Gordon (No. 24 Drive to End Hunger Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 109.3

2014 Rundown

·         Four wins, 13 top fives, 21 top 10s; two poles

·         Average finish of 10.1

·         Led 24 races for 873 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, nine top fives, 12 top 10s; two poles

·         Average finish of 17.2 in 27 races

·         Average Running Position of 13.9, 10th-best

·         Driver Rating of 92.3, ninth-best

·         323 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-most

·         4,067 Laps in the Top 15 (63.9%), eighth-most

 

2 - Ryan Newman (No. 31 Caterpillar Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 85.4

2014 Rundown

·         Four top fives, 15 top 10s

·         Average finish of 13.0

·         Led 7 races for 41 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, three top fives, five top 10s; two poles

·         Average finish of 19.1 in 22 races

·         Average Running Position of 20.1, 22nd-best

·         Driver Rating of 73.1, 21st-best

·         1,479 Green Flag Passes, second-most

 

 

 

 

3 - Joey Logano (No. 22 AAA Insurance Ford)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 106.9

2014 Rundown

·         Five wins, 16 top fives, 21 top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 11.3

·         Led 21 races for 976 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, four top fives, four top 10s

·         Average finish of 18.4 in 12 races

·         Average Running Position of 19.3, 20th-best

·         Driver Rating of 77.1, 19th-best

 

4 - Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Dollar General Toyota)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 91.8

2014 Rundown

·         12 top fives, 20 top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 13.3

·         Led 19 races for 470 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Two wins, 13 top fives, 17 top 10s

·         Average finish of 8.3 in 24 races

·         Series-best Average Running Position of 9.4

·         Series-best Driver Rating of 106.1

·         353 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-most

·         1,448 Green Flag Passes, fifth-most

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.587 mph, second-fastest

·         Series-high 5,045 Laps in the Top 15 (79.3%)

·         742 Quality Passes, second-most

 

5 - Denny Hamlin (No. 11 FedEx Office Toyota)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 90.9

2014 Rundown

·         One win, six top fives, 15 top 10s; two poles

·         Average finish of 14.9

·         Led 15 races for 286 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Two wins, five top fives, nine top 10s

·         Average finish of 10.8 in 17 races

·         Average Running Position of 12.4, sixth-best

·         Driver Rating of 93.8, seventh-best

·         179 Fastest Laps Run, 11th-most

·         1,380 Green Flag Passes, seventh-most

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.154 mph, 10th-fastest

·         3,931 Laps in the Top 15 (69.0%), 10th-most

·         742 Quality Passes, second-most

 

6 - Carl Edwards (No. 99 Aflac Ford)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 81.4

2014 Rundown

·         Two wins, seven top fives, 13 top 10s

·         Average finish of 14.7

·         Led 11 races for 135 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Three wins, six top fives, eight top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 15.5 in 19 races

·         Average Running Position of 12.4, seventh-best

·         Driver Rating of 96.9, sixth-best

·         361 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-most

·         1,240 Green Flag Passes, 11th-most

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.402 mph, fourth-fastest

·         4,573 Laps in the Top 15 (71.9%), fifth-most

·         716 Quality Passes, fifth-most

 

7 - Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Miller Lite Ford)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 103.4

2014 Rundown

·         Six wins, 14 top fives, 17 top 10s; five poles

·         Average finish of 13.5

·         Led 26 races for 1,518 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One top five, three top 10s

·         Average finish of 19.5 in 12 races

·         Average Running Position of 18.1, 18th-best

·         Driver Rating of 78.8, 18th-best

·         164 Fastest Laps Run, 12th-most

 

8 - Kevin Harvick (No. 4 Budweiser Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 108.3

2014 Rundown

·         Three wins, 11 top fives, 17 top 10s; eight poles

·         Average finish of 14.0

·         Led 24 races for 1,817 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Three top fives, 11 top 10s

·         Average finish of 13.6 in 23 races

·         Average Running Position of 16.0, 15th-best

·         Driver Rating of 83.3, 14th-best

·         1,461 Green Flag Passes, third-most

·         3,706 Laps in the Top 15 (58.2%), 12th-most

·         685 Quality Passes, seventh-most

 

 

9 - Kyle Busch (No. 18 M&M's Toyota)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 90.2

2014 Rundown

·         One win, eight top fives, 14 top 10s; three poles

·         Average finish of 16.8

·         Led 15 races for 453 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, seven top fives, eight top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 13.4 in 18 races

·         Average Running Position of 10.8, third-best

·         Driver Rating of 102.2, fourth-best

·         353 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-most

·         Series-best Average Green Flag Speed of 173.610 mph

·         4,448 Laps in the Top 15 (73.8%), sixth-most

·         641 Quality Passes, 10th-most

 

10 - AJ Allmendinger (No. 47 Clorox Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 70.7

2014 Rundown

·         One win, two top fives, five top 10s

·         Average finish of 19.9

·         Led 5 races for 68 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Two top 10s

·         Average finish of 21.7 in 11 races

·         Average Running Position of 22.1, 28th-best

·         Driver Rating of 68.5, 25th-best

 

11 - Dale Earnhardt Jr. (No. 88 Diet Mountain Dew Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 97.5

2014 Rundown

·         Four wins, 12 top fives, 18 top 10s

·         Average finish of 12.5

·         Led 16 races for 379 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, four top fives, 13 top 10s; two poles

·         Average finish of 15.0 in 24 races

·         Average Running Position of 13.1, ninth-best

·         Driver Rating of 90.4, 10th-best

·         216 Fastest Laps Run, ninth-most

·         1,346 Green Flag Passes, eighth-most

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.243 mph, eighth-fastest

·         4,624 Laps in the Top 15 (72.7%), fourth-most

·         736 Quality Passes, fourth-most

 

12 - Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Lowe's  Red Vest Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 98.5

2014 Rundown

·         Three wins, 10 top fives, 18 top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 15.2

·         Led 16 races for 1,119 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Three wins, 10 top fives, 16 top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 9.5 in 22 races

·         Average Running Position of 11.4, fourth-best

·         Driver Rating of 103.6, second-best

·         Series-high 522 Fastest Laps Run

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.393 mph, fifth-fastest

·         4,666 Laps in the Top 15 (73.3%), third-most

·         681 Quality Passes, eighth-most

 

13 - Greg Biffle (No. 16 Ortho Fire Ant Killer Ford)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 78.7

2014 Rundown

·         Three top fives, 10 top 10s

·         Average finish of 16.0

·         Led 7 races for 110 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         Two wins, eight top fives, 13 top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 14.7 in 21 races

·         Average Running Position of 12.0, fifth-best

·         Driver Rating of 102.2, third-best

·         473 Fastest Laps Run, second-most

·         Average Green Flag Speed of 173.543 mph, third-fastest

·         4,797 Laps in the Top 15 (75.4%), second-most

·         Series-high 784 Quality Passes

 

14 - Kasey Kahne (No. 5 Great Clips Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 88.0

2014 Rundown

·         One win, three top fives, 11 top 10s

·         Average finish of 17.1

·         Led 12 races for 218 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, five top fives, six top 10s; one pole

·         Average finish of 17.7 in 20 races

·         Average Running Position of 14.9, 13th-best

·         Driver Rating of 85.4, 13th-best

·         223 Fastest Laps Run, eighth-most

·         1,398 Green Flag Passes, sixth-most

·         3,957 Laps in the Top 15 (62.2%), ninth-most

·         688 Quality Passes, sixth-most

 

 

15 - Kurt Busch (No. 41 Haas Automation Chevrolet)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 86.6

2014 Rundown

·         One win, six top fives, nine top 10s

·         Average finish of 19.9

·         Led 13 races for 204 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One win, three top fives, 12 top 10s

·         Average finish of 16.3 in 23 races

·         Average Running Position of 15.3, 14th-best

·         Driver Rating of 86.5, 12th-best

·         193 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-most

·         1,451 Green Flag Passes, fourth-most

 

16 - Aric Almirola (No. 43 Farmland Ford)

·         Season-to-Date Driver Rating: 72.6

2014 Rundown

·         One win, two top fives, seven top 10s

·         Average finish of 21.5

·         Led 5 races for 23 laps

Texas Motor Speedway Outlook:

·         One top 10

·         Average finish of 19.6 in seven races

·         Average Running Position of 21.4, 24th-best

·         Driver Rating of 68.2, 26th-best

 

 

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series 2014 Eliminator 8 at Texas Motor Speedway

 

Driver

Races

Poles

Wins

Top Fives

Top 10s

DNFs

Average Finish

Driver Rating

 
 

1

Jeff Gordon

27

2

1

9

12

6

17.2

92.3

 

2

Ryan Newman

22

2

1

3

5

3

19.1

73.1

 

3

Joey Logano

12

0

1

4

4

1

18.4

77.1

 

4

Matt Kenseth

24

0

2

13

17

0

8.3

106.1

 

5

Denny Hamlin

17

0

2

5

9

0

10.8

93.8

 

6

Carl Edwards

19

1

3

6

8

4

15.5

96.9

 

7

Brad Keselowski

12

0

0

1

3

0

19.5

78.8

 

8

Kevin Harvick

23

0

0

3

11

1

13.6

83.3

 

* – Based on last 19 races at Texas Motor Speedway (2005 – 2014).

 

Texas Motor Speedway:

History

·         Construction on Texas Motor Speedway began in 1995.

·         The first NASCAR national series race at TMS was a NASCAR Nationwide Series event on April 5, 1997 – won by Mark Martin.

·         The first NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race was on April 6, 1997 – won by Jeff Burton.

·         The track underwent a repave between the 2001 and 2002 seasons.

·         In 2011, the spring NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race was moved from Sunday to Saturday night under the lights at Texas Motor Speedway.

·         Texas Motor Speedway hosted its first Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race on November 6, 2005 – won by Carl Edwards.

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